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ARM earns a HOLD at $264 as data center CPUs and agentic AI displace smartphones, with AGI CPU demand already doubling to $2 billion.
NVIDIA's P/E of 46 and Qualcomm's P/E of 33 make ARM's trailing P/E of 298 look dangerously stretched at current prices.
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Our Arm (NASDAQ:ARM) thesis has shifted. Data center CPUs, agentic AI silicon, and the Arm AGI CPU are now the swing factors driving this stock, and our model reflects that pivot.