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TSMC (TSM) trades at $428 with a 24/7 Wall St. BUY target of $492, implying ~15% upside backed by 90% confidence and August revenue surging 53% year over year.
NVIDIA's $108B Q3 guide and Broadcom's 221% AI revenue growth lock in TSMC's advanced-node order book, while Intel's foundry lost $2B last quarter leaving TSMC with no real competitor.
The 2nm ramp risks compressing gross margins by up to 7 points, and Taiwan-Strait geopolitics remain an unpriced tail risk with a bear-case target of $414.
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