New inflation data suggests seniors will see heftier Social Security checks next year.
The annual cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA, is projected by AARP to be 3.6%, increasing the average retiree's monthly check by around $75. This year's COLA of 2.8% bumped up the average benefit by $56.
If this projection sticks, the 2027 COLA will be the highest in four years — but still not enough for millions of retirees to keep up with rising food, energy, and healthcare costs.
"No matter if the COLA announcement comes in slightly higher or slightly lower than our prediction, seniors will not be happy," said Shannon Benton, executive director of the Senior Citizens League, which projects a 3.5% COLA.
The annual adjustment is calculated by averaging inflation data for the third quarter of the year and comparing that to the previous year, based on the Consumer Price Index for all urban wage earners and clerical workers (CPI-W). The CPI-W weights the costs of goods and services paid by the urban segment of the population more than other expense categories.