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Daily Voice: Indian stock market at record highs by March? Rakesh Vyas sees four triggers and one key risk

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Core Development: Daily Voice: Indian stock market at record highs by March? Rakesh Vyas sees four triggers and one key risk
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Market & Financial Impact: Rakesh Vyas' bigger concern is not necessarily a short-term spike in crude, but a situation where disruption around the Strait of Hormuz persists and keeps crude, freight and insurance costs elevated for a longer period.
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Actionable Insight: Monitor price volume action at market open; check key technical support/resistance levels.

Rakesh Vyas, CIO and Portfolio Manager at Quest Investment Managers, remains constructive on equities. A return to previous highs by the end of the fiscal year is certainly possible, particularly if earnings remain steady and some of the current macroeconomic uncertainties begin to ease, he said in an interview with Moneycontrol.

According to Vyas, lower crude oil prices, greater visibility on global interest rates, an improvement in foreign institutional flows and a continued recovery in domestic consumption could all act as catalysts for the market.

He remains constructive on consumer discretionary, with the sector currently representing his largest allocation. Vyas believes the earnings outlook across several categories is improving, supported by premiumisation, formalisation and sustained growth in discretionary spending.

Meanwhile, Vyas views FCNR inflows as a positive enabler for the credit cycle, rather than a standalone reason to turn bullish on the entire banking sector.

Will the lack of clarity around the Strait of Hormuz pose a significant risk to the global economy?

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Official Publisher Attribution: This report is aggregated from Moneycontrol. ZeroLive provides live aggregation, automated sentiment synthesis, and exchange disclosure monitoring for retail market participants.
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